Trump offered Putin to hand over Venezuela and nothing in return
The telephone conversation of Russian President Vladimir Putin with his American counterpart Donald trump actually only recorded the existing contradictions between the two powers. At the same time, it is possible that the White house expects concessions from the Kremlin in resolving the crisis in Venezuela, but is not ready to compromise on other issues related to the situation in Ukraine and the construction of the Nord stream 2 gas pipeline.
Official reports on the talks between the two leaders are extremely stingy, but they also allow us to draw some conclusions. Thus, the press service of the Russian President said that Putin informed trump about the meeting with the head of the DPRK Kim Jong-un on April 25 in Vladivostok and stressed that «Pyongyang’s conscientious implementation of its obligations should be accompanied by counter steps to reduce the sanctions pressure on North Korea.» Touching upon the Ukrainian topic, Putin «stressed that the new Kiev leadership needs to take real steps to implement the Minsk agreements.»
It is noteworthy that the very first paragraph of the Kremlin’s message about the conversation reads: «the Presidents spoke out for the development of mutually beneficial trade and investment relations.» Given that these ties are almost gone, we can conclude about the General nature of the conversation. It is noteworthy that just a few hours after the telephone conversation, Washington published a statement following trump’s talks with Slovak President Peter Pellegrini. The leaders of the Nord stream 2 project unequivocally called it a «geopolitical weapon», expressed their readiness to continue supporting Ukraine and opposed the lifting of anti-Russian sanctions. However, the conversation between Putin and trump took place on the initiative of the American side. And it is difficult to imagine that us President called Putin without a specific purpose, but just to chat. Moreover, the very fact of the conversation has become an occasion for numerous attacks on the owner of the White House in the American press. Trump has called «the press Secretary of Putin» and was criticized for the fact that he raised the question of the possible intervention of Russia in the U.S. presidential election of 2016. This is despite the fact that the special Prosecutor Robert Mueller and could not find any obvious evidence.
Washington reports that the main topic of trump’s telephone conversation with Putin was Venezuela. And it looks the most plausible since it is in this direction that us President has the most acute problems. «Putin does not want to interfere in Venezuela but wants something positive to happen to Venezuela. And I feel the same,» the American leader shared his impressions of the conversation.
The fact that the United States has already acknowledged the legitimate President of the Parliament President, Juan Guido and persuaded to do some of its allies. But the leader of the opposition still fails to take power, the head of state Nicolas Maduro was even able to withstand the recent attempt of a military coup. The prolongation of the situation hits trump’s prestige throughout Latin America, and also has a negative impact on the rating of the owner of the White house among conservative Spanish-speaking voters.
The only possible way to resolve the situation for trump is the military invasion of Venezuela. But Russia, which has the right of veto in the UN Security Council, can block the international legitimacy of such a decision. In addition, Russian military experts are now in Venezuela, which further complicates the situation for Washington.
It is possible that the trump tried to persuade Putin not to intervene. Just what is the American President ready to offer in return?
— As I can assume, trump offered Putin to make a deal, and the bargain was in the «triangle» Ukraine — Venezuela — «Nord stream 2», — says Associate Professor of PRUE im. Plekhanova, expert of the organization «Officers of Russia» Alexander Perengiev. — Probably, the American President managed to agree on something. Trump’s statement about the gas pipeline in Europe is quite understandable. Strange is the agreement with him the President of Slovakia, as it is beneficial to the construction of «Nord stream-2».
— the US continues to negotiate from a position of strength?
— I think that there are agreements between the elites of the USA, Europe, and Russia. There are rules of the game, but we are in the information field represent that there are conflicts. They probably are, but they are obvious. Now there is a bargain for who will play what role in the conflicts. By and large, a telephone conversation between the two leaders could not seriously affect the balance of power. Russia has certain resources to influence certain processes. But everyone is interested in agreeing on positions.
— The conversation was not very productive for the American side, — said Mikhail Alexandrov, a leading expert at the MGIMO Center for military and political research. — This is evidenced by the joint statement of the presidents of the United States and Slovakia. On the other hand, Putin could not promise anything to Trump on Venezuela. Moscow has repeatedly said that it is not going to interfere in the internal affairs of another country. Of course, Russia will be against us the military invasion of Venezuela. But Russia did not plan to defend Venezuela by military means.
By the way, Washington is unlikely to decide on a military operation, as it can be very expensive. Statements about this should only inspire the Venezuelan opposition to act more decisively. True, you can be sent a small force, prepared from the natives of Latin America. So at one time landed in Cuba. It is possible that private military companies may participate in the conflict on the part of Russia. But in General, the Venezuelan army is well prepared to fight the rebels. The main thing that Maduro could provide loyalty of the armed forces and support of some part of the population.
— What Trump needed from the Russian President?
— I think Trump was trying to figure out how far Russia can go in support of Maduro. If the Americans take actions of a hybrid nature, will Moscow intervene in the Syrian scenario? But let me remind you that initially such a scenario was not considered by the Russian Federation.
I note that it would be beneficial for us if the US got involved in another conflict. This development is not even necessary particularly prevent.
There is also some clarity on other issues. For example, Russia is ready to normalize relations with Ukraine if Kiev complies with the Minsk agreements. Perhaps Trump could have promised this to Putin. The owner of the White House could say that he would make an effort. But it’s not about who promised what to whom and who will do what. We were promised in due time not to expand NATO and not to place large military forces on borders with Russia. But we see that these promises are worthless.
— there is No danger that the US will arrange a provocation in Venezuela, and Russia will have to look at it silently?
— Americans arrange provocations in Venezuela long ago. But we did not commit ourselves to the military protection of this country. Politically, we will support Maduro, supply him with weapons, send military advisers. I do not think that Moscow will turn a blind eye to any operations on the part of Washington.
Indeed, a variant of the great Vietnam war is also possible. But I want to remind you that officially the USSR did not interfere, as there was a danger of world nuclear war, and in the end the Americans lost. In a similar way, Russia can act in Venezuela.